Evidence Ledger · Forward Book
Every time FinEdg shows an EdgeRow, that snapshot is written to a forward book and checked against what the market actually did over the next 1, 3 and 7 days. No cherry-picking, no hindsight edits — the record speaks for itself as it fills in.
| Asset | Obs | Pending | Completed | Status | 1d | 3d | 7d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC | 752 | 264 | 1989 | proof-gated | 727 · +0.24% avg | 679 · +0.80% avg | 583 · +2.21% avg |
| ETH | 752 | 264 | 1989 | proof-gated | 727 · +0.71% avg | 679 · +2.10% avg | 583 · +4.88% avg |
| GLD | 752 | 264 | 1893 | unproven | 695 · -0.03% avg | 647 · +0.05% avg | 551 · -0.25% avg |
| MSFT | 752 | 264 | 1893 | proof-gated | 695 · +0.62% avg | 647 · +0.88% avg | 551 · +1.44% avg |
| NVDA | 752 | 264 | 1893 | proof-gated | 695 · +0.18% avg | 647 · +0.56% avg | 551 · +1.56% avg |
| QQQ | 752 | 264 | 1893 | refuted | 695 · -0.31% avg | 647 · -0.79% avg | 551 · -1.40% avg |
| SOL | 752 | 264 | 1989 | unproven | 727 · +0.20% avg | 679 · +0.49% avg | 583 · +0.25% avg |
| SPY | 752 | 264 | 1893 | unproven | 695 · +0.19% avg | 647 · +0.14% avg | 551 · +0.09% avg |
| TLT | 752 | 264 | 1881 | refuted | 691 · -0.49% avg | 643 · -0.84% avg | 547 · -1.34% avg |
| USO | 752 | 264 | 1881 | proof-gated | 691 · +1.99% avg | 643 · +4.08% avg | 547 · +8.76% avg |
| UUP | 752 | 264 | 1881 | unproven | 691 · +0.09% avg | 643 · +0.14% avg | 547 · +0.19% avg |
How the forward book works
Plain-language, no hindsight
What gets recorded
When the public scanner shows an EdgeRow, FinEdg stores the asset, its market regime, the best-fit strategy, the Edge score, Confidence and the risk gate — the read exactly as it was shown. It does not store any prediction of price; only the conditions at that moment.
What happens after 1d / 3d / 7d
At each horizon the book measures the realised move from the observation forward and marks that outcome completed. Outcomes are out-of-sample by construction: they are judged only against data that arrived after the snapshot, never re-fitted.
Why the status is demo right now
The book is young: observations exist but few or no horizons have completed yet. With nothing measured out-of-sample, the only honest label is demo. Status improves on its own as real outcomes accumulate — it is never set by hand.
Research-only, paper-first
FinEdg is a research and decision-support surface. Statuses are evidence-review states, not instructions to act. There is no order placement and no live execution anywhere in FinEdg.