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We publish what failed. That honesty is the product.

A live, pre-registered scoreboard of every strategy we tested — walk-forward validated, multiple-testing corrected, net of fees. Almost nothing passes. A single fundamental screen survives out-of-sample. Research, not investment advice.

Check my strategy — from $19 To the live scoreboard → How we evaluate an edge
Live trading: BLOCKED until something truly earns it · 🌍 multilingual (EN first) · free tier + paid CLUB

Live edge scoreboard — proven vs. refuted

Open /edge →

Left: what survived out-of-sample. Right: the long wall of what we refuted. Every row carries its walk-forward verdict; failures sit next to successes, never hidden.

✓ Survived out-of-sample

EPS acceleration screen
Beats equal-weight hold across rolling walk-forward folds — the one class that holds up. Live forward window in the table below and on /investing.
Robust
ROE screen
Robust across folds — but the latest forward window is negative. Shown openly, not hidden.
Robust

✗ Refuted by our own tests

Momentum ∧ quality combo
Folds hold, but latest forward is negative → NOT_READY. Never sold as proven.
Nicht bereit
TG signals (pump/dump) · 52.8k
Backtest breaks down out-of-sample. Published out of honesty, never sold.
Kein Vorteil
MoonBot grids · Long lab · Bag hold
All full-sample or OOS negative. Educational counterexamples.
Kein Vorteil
5-minute scalp bots
Dead after fees. We teach why ultra-HFT dies after costs.
Kein Vorteil
NASAlgo · ETH-15m conveyor
No edge OOS / NOT_READY. Verdicts pre-registered.
Kein Vorteil

The honesty balance — almost nothing passes

Die vollständige Reise: 6M Versuche → 1 Gewinner →

That pass rate is the badge of honor, not an excuse. Live numbers come from /edge.

Dozenstested candidates
2survived correction (fundamental only)
5+Test families (walk-forward · PBO · Holm · permutation · costs)

Strategy audit — priced before you send anything

See a real sample report — free, no signup →

We run your strategy through the same lab that produced every verdict above — real candles, real fees, no look-ahead. The price is fixed up front; a negative verdict is a valid result and the cheapest loss you'll ever take.

Hier starten
$19
Quick verdict

One strategy, one market, one honest backtest against fees and a matched baseline. Written verdict within days.

from $149
Full audit

Multi-window walk-forward, cost model, null baselines, overfit checks, and a fix-list. Fixed quote agreed before we start.

from $500
Bespoke research

Deep-dive on your rules or portfolio — parameter search on our compute, forward paper book, ongoing verdict updates. Maximum quote up front.

$20 one-time
Bot unlock — live today

Unlock a paper bot for any listed strategy and watch it trade the forward book.

$25 / 30 days
Terminal Pro — live today

Advanced exits and the full terminal for 30 days, grounded in the published exit study.

Check my strategy → Every audit follows the published sample report: claim, replication, numbers, failure mechanism, limits.

Edge 101 — the vocabulary before any number

Methodology →

Honesty reads as expertise once you can read the verdicts.

What is an EDGE?

A repeatable advantage that survives walk-forward on windows we never saw during selection — no hot tip or pretty backtest.

What is SENTIMENT?

Aggregated positioning, news, and flows per sector — a context layer, not a buy button. It carries no proven walk-forward verdict.

The verdict words

ROBUST = beats hold across folds. NO_PROVEN_EDGE = died out-of-sample. BLOCKED = no money path until something survives.

Choose your horizon — what survives depends on it

There is no universal winning method. Pick a horizon and we show you what truthfully holds up for it.

📈 I invest Proven class here

Long horizon (2–10 years), 1-day/1-week rebalancing. Walk-forward-validated fundamental screens (fundamental · insider · TA+VSA · ranking) and a demo portfolio per strategy.

Investing branch →

⚡ I trade Tools & craft

Intraday 5m–4h. Learn what EDGE is and how to work it semi-manually / with broker bots; scanners, sector sentiment as context, backtests for comparison. We sell tools and craft — never profit signals.

Trading branch →

The one that passes — Investing

Full table →
✅
Our only ROBUST signal class.
Of everything tested in crypto and equities, these fundamental screens are the only ones that beat buy-and-hold across rolling folds.
Korb-Vorwärtsrendite vs. gleichgewichtete Halteposition — pro bewährtem Screen hält einen Vorteil widerlegt
BildschirmTop KForward (current)vs. holdStatus
EPS-Beschleunigung 15 +15.38% +3.10% Robust
ROE 5 +0.15% +3.10% Robust
Momentum ∧ Qualität 10 +2.50% +3.10% Robust
Stand 2026-06-14T19:52:07+00:00 · Live-Zahlen von research.fundamental
Honest note: A survivorship-biased universe (today's filers) — necessary but not sufficient for a live edge. OOS/walk-forward fold detail and live forward tracking live on /investing. ROE's negative forward is intentionally shown. Live stays BLOCKED; forward paper is the bias-free confirmator.

What we refuted — Trading (educational)

Trading research →

The refutation library is the content moat: "Backtest looked good, failed live" as a lesson. Movers & sentiment are breadth/context, tagged as no signal. No order execution on this surface.

📊 Live US equities & crypto movers Free

15-minute update, read-only public feed.

🔎 Crypto screener Free

Breadth and sector routing — context, not a buy button.

⚠️ Warning cards Widerlegt

TG −99.7%, MoonBot, 5m scalp — counterexamples with discipline lessons.

🎓 GOGA Akademie Free

Discipline, risk management, bot configuration. No profit promises, no execution.

Free vs. CLUB — depth, not secrecy

The entire transparency layer is never behind a paywall — hiding it would break the method. The paid CLUB (a separate 2nd domain, monthly) sells deeper analysis and tools, explicitly NOT the signals that win.

KOSTENLOS Always

Sign up, no card
  • Live movers (equities + crypto, 15 min.)
  • Full edge verdicts + the honesty scoreboard
  • The proven fundamental screens (summary)
  • GOGA Academy + methodology
  • Public GET API (rate-limited)
Join free →

CLUB Monthly · 2nd domain

Depth + sentiment-as-tool
  • Sentiment per subsector + rotation context
  • Full fundamental / insider / TA+VSA rankings
  • Demo-Portfolio-Tracking + Alarme
  • Backtest-Wiederholung & Parameter-Übungen
  • Premium-API-Stufen + kostentransparente Prüfpfade
CLUB ansehen →

Wie wir ehrlich bleiben

Die Regeln sind das Produkt. Urteile werden vor Abschluss des Backtests vorregistriert und Holm-korrigiert. Vorwärtsergebnisse werden netto nach Gebühren ausgewiesen, auch wenn negativ. Jeder Fehlschlag wird veröffentlicht. Der Edge wird neben seinen Kosten gezeigt. Forschung, keine Anlageberatung — wir verwalten kein Geld und führen keine Aufträge aus. Live-Handel bleibt GESPERRT, bis etwas wirklich überlebt.